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In this article we will look at the essence of the “first half goal” betting strategy in football, how best to use it and what you need to know when making these bets. This is a fairly well-known type of bet, but not the easiest for a bettor who decides to make money with bets quickly and easily. You can bet with this strategy in preview mode before the match and during the online broadcast in Live.
Things to consider when selecting matches for your strategy:
- Statistics of teams and championships. Find required material It’s not difficult on the Internet; teams and championships are presented in detail in statistical sections, which are listed by season and match. A bettor can make a list of championships of countries in which there is increased performance, then, through review and selection, select teams suitable for betting in the strategy.
- Selection of a specific match. There are football matches that do not have serious tournament significance, but there are vice versa. Derby, matches of principle rivals of teams different levels, where clubs with different attacking potential and selection of performers meet.
- View the odds at bookmakers and the behavior of the odds for the selected outcome. Sometimes the bookmakers are cunning, luring the bettor with a false movement of the coefficient, but there are many cases when a sharp decrease in the numbers in the line has real progress.
- A match where the underdog and the favorite are known. Basically, a strong team tries to decide the outcome in the 1st half in order to continue playing according to the score and not waste extra energy in the 2nd half. There are, of course, exceptions, but that’s why there are statistical sections for betting in order to analyze the outcome of the strategy in detail. You should also keep track of the odds on the outsider; if it is above 5.00, it means that the probability of the bet passing is high and a goal in such matches in the 1st half often occurs.
Features of the strategy
Despite all the attractiveness and popularity of football as a sport, bookmakers make great money from it. Low odds are a favorite feature of bookmakers and betting on a goal in the 1st half is no exception. In this outcome, the bettor will face digital gaps in the region of 1.50 and below, which of course is not encouraging. And so the risk is big, because even a carefully thought-out and calculated match will not always be played on TB (0.5) in the 1st half, and you also have to bet on a small odd.
This is why there are so-called combined total bets using the Dogon strategy. If there is no goal in the 1st half, it is advised to bet on the total total of 0.5 goals in the match, betting the amount so that the winnings cover the amount of both bets and come out with a small plus. If the match is chosen correctly, it will definitely play this type combinations of pre-match bet and live bet.
There are risk lovers who bet on a goal at the end of the half after 30 - 35 minutes. Of course, here the coefficient can increase to 2.20 - 2.50, and there is an opportunity to at least double the bet amount, but again, the risk is high and without watching the match on the broadcast, it is not wise to play with such an outcome.
Bets on this strategy should be dosed depending on the size of the game bank and bet no more than 3 - 5% of the amount of your “gold and foreign exchange reserves”.
Conclusion
If you play wisely and patiently, you can raise your bank with this strategy, but you should not bet with express bets or systems, but only with single bets in anticipation of long-term betting with this strategy.
We bring to your attention an interesting and useful football strategy for betting online. Its essence is that the bettor must make a bet with the bookmaker on a goal in the first half from the 10th to the 25th minute. Why should you bet during this period? Firstly, the odds in many football matches that a goal will be scored in the first half are quite attractive and reach 1.8. Secondly, it is important to see the nature of the fight. To understand how the teams will play, you need to watch the match for at least 15-20 minutes. It is very important to see what mood the players are in, whether they want to score or want to play carefully, taking care of the defense of the goal.
You can place a bet when the odds increase to at least 1.7 – 1.8. It is better to use the flat method. That is, spend no more than 5% of the bank. Optimally, this is 2-3% of the bank. In this case, there should be no catch-ups. The goal of this strategy is to make a profit of up to 30% from the pot with 50 bets.
Fast passage
Which championships fit the strategy?
How to choose football matches for betting? Firstly, it is important to choose those championships and leagues in which teams score a lot of goals. This:
- Germany (1.2 leagues);
- Netherlands (1.2 leagues);
- Sweden;
- Norway;
- Denmark (all leagues);
- North Ireland.
To a certain extent, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland (leagues 1 and 2) are suitable for the “Goal in the first half” football strategy.
Separately, it is worth mentioning the meetings in European cups. Often in the group rounds of the Champions League and Europa League, the total odds are no longer high. This is due to the fact that a lot of goals are scored here, and the bookmakers naturally reduce the odds. For example, for a total over 2.5 the quotes are 1.6 or even 1.5. They are comparable to odds for Dutch championship matches.
By the 25th minute, the odds for a goal in the first half increase to 1.5, which is very low. Usually by this time, even in scoring championships, they rise to 1.6-1.7. Therefore, you can bet using this strategy in European cups only on a very limited number of matches, in which the odds will be more or less decent, and the meeting will potentially be “top”.
In the Champions League you can bet up to the 30th minute if the odds are. will reach 1.9 at least. This is justified if dangerous moments arise regularly and a goal is about to take place. It is important to take into account the position of the playing teams in the table. If this is the last round, and the clubs are bleeding from the nose to win, then the event is suitable. You can also bet in the second half. The lion's share of goals are scored at the end of halves in situations where teams have nothing to lose and only need a victory.
Which fights should you choose?
When choosing potentially suitable events for our strategy, we cannot do without the help of websites with statistics. It is ideal when a team concedes a lot and scores in the first half of the game. We pay attention to all games, and to the last 5 matches. If a team plays at home, we look at how many goals it scores and concedes in home matches. The same applies to the visiting team.
If a club concedes a lot and scores a lot in the first half away from home, it means it fits this strategy. If we see that the teams are kind of swaying and trying not to concede in the first half, then we pass by this match. Evidence of this tactic is the numerous zeros in the scores in the first halves of matches between the playing teams.
Another indicator that the meeting fits the “goal in the first half” strategy is the total odds of more than 2.5 before the game. If it is not higher than 1.75, then the match is expected to be productive. Quotes per goal in the first half of the match will not exceed 1.4.
When does a match fit the strategy?
If football players often go forward to the opponent’s goal, strike, play with flanks, and carry out combinations, then such a match is suitable for the strategy in question. There is a feeling that a goal is brewing, and it is a matter of time before it happens.
Such matches are characterized by dynamics, there is no fuss in the center of the field, the players rarely make mistakes in passes. When throwing in outs, it is clear that the athletes are in a hurry and are trying to escalate the game. Such moments often arise in situations where teams are not satisfied with a draw. This also happens when a clear leader plays with a middle player or an outsider.
The main selection criterion for a strategy for the first goal is frequent dangerous moments, shots, free kicks. In such matches, an effective shot on goal can take place at the very beginning of the match. If the nature of the match does not change, you can wait until the odds rise and bet on another goal in the first half of the match. Favorable situations often arise in Holland, Germany and Norway.
When is a match not suitable for a goal strategy in the first half?
As mentioned above, it is important to watch the match online. Now there are enough resources where you can watch live matches of the championships of Denmark, Norway, Holland (leagues 1 and 2). If the tour takes place on the weekend, you will have to monitor several games at the same time.
Making it possible to watch multiple matches on one monitor is easy. We skip the game if:
- At the beginning of the meeting, we see the ball slowly rolling in the center of the field, numerous losses of the ball by the players of both teams;
- The game is boring, takes place at a low pace and without moments;
- There are very few approaches to the goal, there are practically no shots on goal. Goalkeepers stand idle, there are few corners and flank passes;
- The boring match continues until the middle of the half.
Even if the odds are high and someone scores a goal in the first half, then in this case such fights do not fit our strategy. The goals here are random and are the result of blunders or incredible individual actions by the forwards. Of course, you shouldn’t rely on such coincidences.
As you know, the weather and the condition of the lawn greatly influence the quality of the game. On a bad and slippery field it is easier to defend than to attack. If it rains constantly and the field becomes heavy and slippery, then the speed and technical advantages favorite team. This has long been known. Therefore, if you see that the field is in poor condition, the ball gets stuck or slides on the field, it is better to skip this game. The goals scored are spontaneous, and the match cannot be predicted. Most often, such matches take place with a small number of goals scored. They don't fit our strategy. Ideal when the weather is sunny outside, the field is good condition. It is clear that the players enjoy the competitive process.
Difference in championships
Why are the championships of Germany, Holland, Denmark and other Scandinavian countries (except Finland) suitable, but Spain and Italy are not? It’s enough just to watch the games in these championships. In Germany, it is clear that players strive to score, push through the opponent’s defense, go down the flank, and make a dangerous cross. The matches are dynamic and spectacular. Take Borussia Dortmund for example. The players of this team try to pass the center of the field as quickly as possible and deliver the ball to their forwards or attacking midfielders. Bayer, Schalke, Wolfsburg (at home), and most other teams also play. Freiburg, for example, is trying to play more combinational, subtle football, which leads to an abundance of goals scored and conceded. It is clear that this style of play leads to a large number moments and, as a result, to goals.
The Dutch championship is characterized by ingenuity, a lot of defensive errors, and good scoring. Moments there occur every 5 minutes. Therefore, goals often easily fly into the gates of both leaders and outsiders.
The Danish Championship is a cross between Holland and Germany. There is German aggression, pressure, play on the flanks and Dutch ingenuity and combinational style. As a result, we get the explosive mixture “Danish dynamite”. This nickname was given to the Danish national team in the 80s for their explosive style of play. The Swedish championship is similar to the Danish one. Norwegian is more primitive, although moments also arise regularly in it.
What do we see in the Spanish championship? If you don’t take the leaders Real, Barcelona and a couple of other teams behind them, then this is a fuss in the middle of the field with rare aggravations. The players are quite technical, but they play as if for themselves. There is no focus on the goal, they rarely shoot at goal, there are few passes and dangerous crosses and crosses. Technology for technology's sake, in a word.
Of course, there are Spanish teams that carry out attacks with an emphasis on shots on goal, like Deportivo or Valencia in the 90s. But these are exceptions. To understand the difference between the championships, turn on the matches of the German and Spanish championships between the middle peasants at the same time, and watch the fights for at least 20 minutes.
As for Italy, in this championship goals come from the actions of outstanding players. Everything there is subordinated to tactics. The defenders cover zones quite competently. Only Fiorentina (if they are in good shape) and sometimes Roma fit our strategy.
The most unpredictable championship is the English Premier League, so it is not recommended to take matches from there. Even if you analyze the state of the teams well, the probability of your winnings will tend to 50%.
You can bet in the second half, of course. The main thing is that the teams are motivated and all the conditions described above are observed.
This is the author's strategy. Unfortunately, I cannot refer to the author, because... I was sent this strategy in the form in which I post it and there was no link to authorship. Be patient, you'll have to read (ed.: lyrical digressions removed).
I present to you my author's strategy. It fits both the Betfire exchange and some Bookmakers. But if possible, it is better to keep score in both. The essence of the strategy is that we will bet on TO0.5 in the 1st half, if the score is still not opened in the first half, we will bet on TO0.5 throughout the match. Odds start from 1.30 and go up to 2 or even more. There is nothing complicated here, you just need to read carefully everything you see and put it into practice, step by step. The strategy is actually not difficult to understand even for people far from betting. I spent a good half of last season testing it. Based on testing, tables were made for the specifics of each Championship, based on them we can safely say that the strategy works 100%. Moreover, I ran it over previous seasons, over several years. Let's start with statistics. How many matches do you think take place with a “dry” score (aka eggs), i.e. 0-0. In fact, it’s not small, and if you bet on all matches indiscriminately, then you can lose your bankroll in no time. In fact, there are both high-scoring Championships and low-scoring Championships, where a couple of matches in a row with zero count Not unusual. What can I say, in one country, let’s take Germany as an example, the Bundesliga is considered to be scoring, but if we take the 3rd Bundesliga for example, the result is the opposite. The statistics are simply overflowing with an abundance of draws and shutouts. We look at the examples below from the “Analysis” table: 6 seasons were taken into the analysis. Each season has 306 games, of which, depending on the season, the number of zero matches varies from 13 (last season) to 28 (2009-2010 season). That is, if we take an average, then every 15 match score is 0-0 . This is actually not much, this championship is definitely worth playing. As we can see from the last column, on average, goals are scored in 93.9% of matches. In addition, you should take into account the column “Goals scored 1 half”, from which it follows that in matches where at least one goal was scored, 67.4% of them are scored in the first half. This is 2/3 of all first goals. You should also take into account that the lion's share of the first goals are still scored in the first half and not in the second half! This happens in almost all championships. It’s just that in some places this percentage is greater and in others it is less. Below is the table of the 3rd Bundesliga Championship. 
From here we see that approximately every 10th match ends with a score of 0-0. This means that in every round there is at least! one dry match. Therefore, the percentage of goals scored is lower. The same situation applies to “goal in the 1st half”. Let's look at another country using Egypt as an example. The example shows that in approximately every round 1.5 matches are goalless draws. That is, in one round there is one, in the next there are 2 “dry” draws. In fact, such championships are dangerous due to this strategy. You should refrain from playing on them. At least until you gain some experience. But how can you still secure yourself to the minimum, and select matches to be close to 100%. It turns out there is a way out! And I have been using this method successfully for a long time! So there you go! We will select and stand for those matches in which there have already been one, two or three “dry” draws in a row! The number after which we will play depends only on the specifics of a particular Championship. The sequence is:
1) We are looking for a game where the last game(s) ended with a score of 0-0.
2) We look at which country it belongs to and analyze it using data from the tables about the percentage of its cross-country ability.
3) If the match comes up, we wait for the game and take it live at 0.5 TB in the first half. If there was no goal, we get up for the second half, but with a larger amount, in order to get ours back and also win.
4) GOAL in the second half – PROFIT!
In the end, I would like to highlight the components of a successful game: - Do not play all-in or simply go all-in. - Spend the right amount of time searching for matches; the better matches you select, the faster and more reliable your profit will be.
Countries/Leagues in which you can play after the first clean sheet: Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Higher League, Belgian Higher League, all countries of the Scandinavian Leagues (Norway, Sweden, Finland (not all leagues)), Dutch Top League, Czech Top League. In addition, junior leagues of almost all leagues (U), as well as women's leagues (W), are doing well.
Countries/Leagues in which you cannot play at all: Argentina, Egypt, all Cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones (the result is unpredictable)!
For other countries we bet on 2 or more clean sheets in a row. We put it this way and nothing else! That's all. I have given you comprehensive information, using which you can constantly be in profit with very minimal risks. Good luck and profit to everyone!