Today we’ll look at a fairly popular system of betting on goals in the first half. As you understand, we will be talking about football matches. Let’s start, as usual, with the essence of the strategy, consider an example for understanding, and study the algorithms for betting in LIVE mode. Yes, it is in Live that you will very often have to use a strategy. Well, at the end, as usual, there will be a conclusion.
The essence of the strategy Goal in the first half
As I already guessed, we need to predict. Which team will be able to score a goal in the first half of a football match. This bet has its own name - First half total over 0.5 or TB 0.5 if abbreviated. Naturally, there is nothing complicated here at first glance. But where is the salt?
How to select the right team to bet on
There are several approaches to selecting teams that will need to be covered so that you have a full range of options. Especially for general development it will come in handy.
Selecting a command using a formula
We select a football event, for example K1 - K2. To determine who to bet on, you need to look at the statistics of the last 5 matches and how many goals they scored in the first half. For calculation we use the coefficients: A goal scored at home is 1 goal, a goal scored away is 2 goals, a goal missed at home is 2 goals, a goal missed away is 1 goal. Using these parameters, we calculate statistics for 5 games.
- For example, for K1 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 2 goals away = 4 goals, conceded 1 goal at home = 2 goals, conceded 3 goals away = 3 goals.
- Let’s say for K2 - scored 1 goal at home = 1 goal, scored 0 goals away = 0 goals, conceded 4 goals at home = 8 goals, conceded 4 goals away = 4 goals.
Now, using a simple formula, we will calculate the odds that will allow us to find out who has a better chance of scoring a goal in the 1st half.
(Goals scored at home / Goals conceded away) + (Goals scored away / Goals conceded)
Coefficient for K1 = (1/4)+(4/8)=0.25+0.5= 0.75
Coefficient for K2 = (1/3) + (0/2) = 0.33
The lower the odds, the higher the likelihood that the team will score a goal in the 1st half. Result of the match: Team K2 scored 2 goals in the first half.
For this strategy to work properly, the coefficient must be more than 0.6 , but if the coefficient turns out to be 1, then it is better not to bet on this match at all.
Selection by last dry draw
This type of selection is quite simple, for this you will need statistics for the last 5 seasons, goals scored in 1.2 halves and generally goals scored in a match in different leagues, we will put them in a single table and use them to determine the % of entry. I will provide data on three of them. I think you can do the rest of the work yourself.
- Germany Bundesliga: Goals scored in the 1st half: 67,4% 26,5% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
- Germany 3rd League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 57,9% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 32,4% Goals scored in matches 93,9%
- Egypt Premier League: Goals scored in the 1st half: 52,4% Goals scored in the 2nd half: 36,4% Goals scored in matches 88,8%
- We are looking for an event in which the last outcome was 0-0 (dry or eggs)
- We determine the country and league in which the teams play. We analyze using the table whether it is suitable.
- If the event is suitable, then we bet the usual TB0.5 in the first half; if they scored a goal in the first half, we bet that they will score in the second half, in order to get back the money spent and also win.
- Goal in the second half! Bingo.
I advise Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Top League, Belgian Top League, Scandinavian League countries (Norway, Sweden, Finland), Dutch Top League, Czech Top League.
I do not advise: Argentina, Egypt, all cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones, because the result is too unpredictable.
Selection by home favorite
There is an option to select matches and teams for betting on goals in the first half by searching for the scoring favorite who is playing at home. To be specific, you need scoring team favorite with odds no more than 1.7 and for this team to play Houses, only if these conditions are met can one hope for a positive outcome of the bets.
To win, you need to place a bet at the end of the first half of the first half. The odds usually rise to 2. If the favorite team attacks a lot and often creates scoring chances, then you should bet. However, if the game is inactive and there are few scoring chances, then you need to make the opposite bet in order to win back the bet or even be slightly in the black, i.e. We create a type of fork to insure the bet.
Insuring your bet on Goal in the first half
As described above, in the middle of the first half, if the score is not open and there are no prerequisites, then you can use Live to make an opposite bet in order to insure the original one. Or you can bet on a goal in the second half.
bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second halves
There is a certain scheme tailored for the bet365 bookmaker (but is also suitable for other bookmakers). I reviewed it separately in the blog: Bet365 betting scheme for goals in the first and second half.
Conclusion
The strategy is quite interesting and attractive, but as old as the World. In general, if you have statistics and have a good understanding of teams, it can give a good profit. I think this is a worthy strategy, especially in conjunction with financial strategies
This is the author's strategy. Unfortunately, I cannot refer to the author, because... I was sent this strategy in the form in which I post it and there was no link to authorship. Be patient, you'll have to read (ed.: lyrical digressions removed).
I present to you my author's strategy. It fits both the Betfire exchange and some Bookmakers. But if possible, it is better to keep score in both. The essence of the strategy is that we will bet on TO0.5 in the 1st half, if the score is still not opened in the first half, we will bet on TO0.5 throughout the match. Odds start from 1.30 and go up to 2 or even more. There is nothing complicated here, you just need to read carefully everything you see and put it into practice, step by step. The strategy is actually not difficult to understand even for people far from betting. I spent a good half of last season testing it. Based on testing, tables were made for the specifics of each Championship, based on them we can safely say that the strategy works 100%. Moreover, I ran it over previous seasons, over several years. Let's start with statistics. How many matches do you think take place with a “dry” score (aka eggs), i.e. 0-0. In fact, it’s not small, and if you bet on all matches indiscriminately, then you can lose your bankroll in no time. In fact, there are both high-scoring Championships and low-scoring Championships, where a couple of matches in a row with zero count Not unusual. What can I say, in one country, let’s take Germany as an example, the Bundesliga is considered to be scoring, but if we take the 3rd Bundesliga for example, the result is the opposite. The statistics are simply overflowing with an abundance of draws and shutouts. We look at the examples below from the “Analysis” table: 6 seasons were taken into the analysis. Each season has 306 games, of which, depending on the season, the number of zero matches varies from 13 (last season) to 28 (2009-2010 season). That is, if we take an average, then every 15 match score is 0-0 . This is actually not much, this championship is definitely worth playing. As we can see from the last column, on average, goals are scored in 93.9% of matches. In addition, you should take into account the column “Goals scored 1 half”, from which it follows that in matches where at least one goal was scored, 67.4% of them are scored in the first half. This is 2/3 of all first goals. You should also take into account that the lion's share of the first goals are still scored in the first half and not in the second half! This happens in almost all championships. It’s just that in some places this percentage is greater and in others it is less. Below is the table of the 3rd Bundesliga Championship. 
From here we see that approximately every 10th match ends with a score of 0-0. This means that in every round there is at least! one dry match. Therefore, the percentage of goals scored is lower. The same situation applies to “goal in the 1st half”. Let's look at another country using Egypt as an example. The example shows that in approximately every round 1.5 matches are goalless draws. That is, in one round there is one, in the next there are 2 “dry” draws. In fact, such championships are dangerous due to this strategy. You should refrain from playing on them. At least until you gain some experience. But how can you still secure yourself to the minimum, and select matches to be close to 100%. It turns out there is a way out! And I have been using this method successfully for a long time! So there you go! We will select and stand for those matches in which there have already been one, two or three “dry” draws in a row! The number after which we will play depends only on the specifics of a particular Championship. The sequence is:
1) We are looking for a game where the last game(s) ended with a score of 0-0.
2) We look at which country it belongs to and analyze it using data from the tables about the percentage of its cross-country ability.
3) If the match comes up, we wait for the game and take it live at 0.5 TB in the first half. If there was no goal, we get up for the second half, but with a larger amount, in order to get ours back and also win.
4) GOAL in the second half – PROFIT!
In the end, I would like to highlight the components of a successful game: - Do not play all-in or simply go all-in. - Spend the right amount of time searching for matches; the better matches you select, the faster and more reliable your profit will be.
Countries/Leagues in which you can play after the first clean sheet: Austrian Bundesliga, English Premier League, English Premier League (Junior 21), German Bundesliga, Hungarian Higher League, Belgian Higher League, all countries of the Scandinavian Leagues (Norway, Sweden, Finland (not all leagues)), Dutch Top League, Czech Top League. In addition, junior leagues of almost all leagues (U), as well as women's leagues (W), are doing well.
Countries/Leagues in which you cannot play at all: Argentina, Egypt, all Cup matches, friendlies, especially international ones (the result is unpredictable)!
For other countries we bet on 2 or more clean sheets in a row. We put it this way and nothing else! That's all. I have given you comprehensive information, using which you can constantly be in profit with very minimal risks. Good luck and profit to everyone!
As has been noted more than once before, in football, on average, slightly fewer goals are scored in the first half than in the second. In percentage terms, it looks like about 45/55. Accordingly, the coefficient for TB is 0.5 in the first half than in the second. What's the point of betting on a goal in the first half if they score more in the second half, you ask? Below we provide a comprehensive answer and dot the i's.
The essence of the strategy
We need high-scoring championships where the average total goals are the highest. The championships of Australia, Spain, Germany, Holland, Belgium in the top divisions are suitable. In these leagues, the total is more than 2.5 per match in more than 50% of matches. Next, we choose crazy teams that don’t like to defend, score a lot and concede a lot. We will use them in our bets.
For betting, it is best to choose matches where there is a video broadcast or at least a text broadcast. This way you can track what is happening on the field and what the probability of a goal is. We want matches where both teams run attacking, or one team violently lays siege to the other's penalty area and creates a large number of scoring chances. Such matches are suitable for betting on TB in a half.
At the very beginning of the match or before the match, the odds for 0.5 in the first half are on average
about 1.3. For a high-scoring match with a match goal of 2.5 at even strength. Naturally, putting 0.5 under 1.3 on TB doesn’t make much sense, because This is a small and unprofitable coefficient. Therefore, we wait until the odds on more reach at least 1.7, or preferably 2, and then we place a bet. Coefficient 2 on 0.5 total in the first half is obtained approximately in the 30th minute. At this moment we place a bet if the game is very active and the account has not yet been opened.
If a goal was not scored in the first half, then you can try to catch up in the second half by betting on 0.5 TB in the match when the odds again reach 2 or more. Or we wait for the next suitable match and set TB at 0.5 in the first half.
Mathematically calculate strategy
Let's calculate how many bets we need to win and how many we can lose in order to be in the black when betting on this strategy.
For example, we place bets in the amount of 5% of the bank, the bet amount is $20. We place bets at odds of 1.8. 20x1.8=$36. Now let’s calculate how much we will earn if we win 5 bets: (36-20)x5=$80. Those. the net profit for 5 bets is $80. Now let’s calculate how many bets we can lose, but still remain in the black: 4x20=80. Thus, for 5 winning bets you can lose 4 times. This ratio can be increased in your favor if you bet at a higher odds than 1.8.
For example, if you bet at odds of 2.0, then for 5 wins you may not guess correctly with your bet 5 times. Although the ratio of 5 wins to 4 losses is already quite good.
The betting strategy for a goal in the first half is perfect option for newbie bettors. Why? main reason– simplicity. To predict a goal in the first 45 minutes you don’t need to be smart. Even a person who is not particularly interested in football can predict such an outcome. Another advantage of the tactics under review is reliability. The likelihood that you will lose the entire pot is miniscule. How to use a strategy for betting on a goal in the first half? You will find out the answer to this question after reading this article.
Betting strategy for a goal in the first half. How to use?
The first thing you need to do is decide on the match. It is necessary to analyze different leagues and find scoring teams. Fortunately, there are a lot of such clubs in the football arena. Analysts agree that the most successful teams play in the German, Austrian, English and Spanish leagues. In addition, the championships of Norway, New Zealand and, which will be a surprise for many bettors, Japan are considered scoring.
If you want to use betting strategies on goals in the first half, then place bets on the above leagues. In addition, such an outcome often occurs in matches in which there is a clear favorite. For example, if you see that teams of the level of Manchester United and Crystal Palace are playing against each other, you can safely bet on a goal in the first half.
Having decided on specific matches, you need to sort out the bank. If you are a beginner, then I recommend that you additionally apply the 5% strategy. Its essence is very simple. Your single rate should not be more than 5% of common bank. What does this give you? Thanks to such tactics, you simply cannot quickly lose all your money. Moreover, by dividing the bank by 5% you can simultaneously cover up to 20 bets. This is convenient because, as a rule, matches during national leagues take place at the same time.
As a rule, the coefficient for a goal in the first half is 1.3-1.4. Accordingly, you won’t win much with such multipliers. What to do? It’s very simple – bet on this outcome after the start of the match online. Follow the game for 15-20 minutes. If none of the teams scores, then the odds rise to 1.8-2. This is exactly what you need.
However, don't make foolish bets. Watch how the teams play. If clubs actively put pressure on each other and constantly arise on the field dangerous situations, then in this case feel free to bet on the first goal. If the teams play very sluggishly, and the players rarely reach the goal, then in this case it is better to refrain from betting.
Efficiency
How profitable is the tactic in question? As practice shows, bets on the first goal are successful in 5 out of 8 cases. Accordingly, by actively using this strategy wisely, you can raise about 30% of the bank per day. And this is very good result. The most important thing is to closely monitor the progress of the game and analyze the situation.
Even if you misjudged the match and made the wrong bet, you shouldn’t be upset. After all, everything can be fixed. If the half is coming to an end and the probability of a goal is extremely low, then use the catch-up strategy. Just bet on the opposite outcome. This way you can minimize losses, or even avoid them altogether.
The first half goal strategy is betting that a goal will be scored in the first half. In the list of offices, the market is designated differently: total 1T more. (0.5), total 1st half 0.5 B, 1T TB (0.5), but the essence is the same - you need a goal scored in the first half of the game (including injury time for the first half).
Principle and example of strategy
The point of the system is to select matches with a high probability of a goal in the first half. Initially, the odds for the outcome do not exceed 1.3, but in live they reach 1.7 until the 20th minute, depending on the match. Earnings depend on the correct selection of matches, but more on that later.
In live mode, open a suitable event. Select the first half tab or the corresponding block, and bet on the total greater than 0.5 if the odds have reached required values(1.5-1.7 and more). Bet flat or using the D'Alembert system. Do not use catch-up so as not to lose the entire pot.
Selection of matches for strategy
The system is suitable for fights involving a favorite who scores a lot and often wins decisively. Also, the club should immediately begin to attack, and not postpone determining the winner until the second half. If the club is playing at home, this is an additional factor that encourages you to choose a match for strategy betting.
Study the statistics or check out the bookmakers' expectations, which are also based on numbers and expressed in odds. If the main total of the match is 2.5 and the odds on the outcome do not exceed 1.75, then a productive match is expected. But it’s better to analyze statistics, individual performance of opponents, form and lineups, level of motivation, and not blindly believe the bookmaker’s opinion.
Summary
Watch the broadcasts and follow the game closely. Bet when you are confident in the team and you see that a goal is brewing. If you find game problems or failures in the team's actions, skip the match. Betting on a goal in the first half is simple, but can bring regular profits. It all depends on the size of the odds that you “catch”, the percentage of transactions completed and the financial strategy.